Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Norris 52.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 67.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 53.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 54.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Spezza
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Spezza
Norris
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
5
Spezza
Norris
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
5
6
Spezza
Norris
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
52.5% (3,089)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
53.4% (412)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
45.4% (240)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Home / Away
Spezza
Norris
Home
56.8% (5,066)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Spezza
Norris
P1
55.7%
55.5%
P2
54.4%
51.5%
P3
54.1%
50.1%
OT
51.5%
39.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |