Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lammikko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Lammikko 47.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lammikko 54.3%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 83.9%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 68.3%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Spezza
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spezza
Lammikko
Last 5: Spezza 1-4 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Lammikko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
0
1
Spezza
Lammikko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lammikko
0
2
Spezza
Lammikko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
48.6% (1,250)
+5.8%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
59.3% (27)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
37.0% (135)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Lammikko is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (466).
Home / Away
Spezza
Lammikko
Home
56.8% (5,066)
48.0% (688)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.5% (724)
By Period
Spezza
Lammikko
P1
55.7%
48.6%
P2
54.4%
47.7%
P3
54.1%
46.9%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |