Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Hanzal 53.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 29-25 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 64.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 50.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Spezza
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
25
(54 meetings)
29
25
Spezza
Hanzal
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
11
9
Spezza
Hanzal
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
12
7
Spezza
Hanzal
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
6
9
Spezza
Hanzal
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
54.0% (5,547)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
56.7% (1,179)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
46.0% (644)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hanzal
Home
56.8% (5,066)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Spezza
Hanzal
P1
55.7%
54.9%
P2
54.4%
53.6%
P3
54.1%
52.4%
OT
51.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2017 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |