Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 60.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 52.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 56.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Spezza
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
21
(38 meetings)
17
21
Spezza
Zibanejad
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
6
Spezza
Zibanejad
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Spezza
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
12
Spezza
Zibanejad
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
50.9% (11,756)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
52.2% (1,852)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
41.6% (1,796)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zibanejad
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Spezza
Zibanejad
P1
55.7%
50.4%
P2
54.4%
49.7%
P3
54.1%
49.9%
OT
51.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |