Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zigomanis on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zigomanis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Zigomanis 50.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zigomanis 54.4%
Defensive zone
Zigomanis 64.5%
Neutral zone
Zigomanis 59.3%
Result
Mike Zigomanis favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Spezza
Zigomanis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spezza
Zigomanis
Last 5: Spezza 1-4 Zigomanis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zigomanis
0
3
Spezza
Zigomanis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Zigomanis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zigomanis
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
45.8% (24)
+8.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
100.0% (3)
-43.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
53.8% (13)
-1.1%
On power play, Zigomanis has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zigomanis shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Zigomanis is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zigomanis
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.7% (29)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
54.5% (11)
By Period
Spezza
Zigomanis
P1
55.7%
38.5%
P2
54.4%
57.1%
P3
54.1%
61.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Zigomanis
52.5%▬
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Mike Zigomanis |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Mike Zigomanis |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Mike Zigomanis |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Mike Zigomanis |