Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 65.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 66.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 63.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Spezza
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Spezza
Suzuki
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Spezza
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
5
Spezza
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Spezza
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
49.4% (6,368)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
50.8% (1,355)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
44.0% (466)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Spezza
Suzuki
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Spezza
Suzuki
P1
55.7%
48.9%
P2
54.4%
49.1%
P3
54.1%
50.3%
OT
51.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |