Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Hartman 45.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 56.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 58.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Spezza
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Spezza
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Spezza
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
44.8% (936)
+8.9%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
49.4% (154)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
33.3% (54)
+4.9%
On even strength, Spezza has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hartman
Home
55.0% (282)
47.4% (568)
Away
50.8% (295)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Spezza
Hartman
P1
53.1%
47.2%
P2
53.2%
43.4%
P3
52.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |