Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Zucker wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zucker 44.0% vs Dowd 48.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 91.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.6%
Neutral zone
Zucker 63.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Zucker
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zucker
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
1
0
Zucker
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Zucker
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zucker
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (33)
51.0% (671)
+3.5%
Power Play
32.5% (83)
0.0% (2)
+32.5%
On power play, Zucker has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zucker is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Zucker shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Zucker
Dowd
Home
47.0% (66)
48.2% (471)
Away
28.0% (50)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Zucker
Dowd
P1
50.0%
48.3%
P2
31.6%
46.8%
P3
28.6%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zucker
48.0%▲
38.0%
38.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |