Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Staal 55.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 42-26 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 79.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Beagle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
42
(68 meetings)
26
42
Beagle
Staal
Last 10: Beagle 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
20
Beagle
Staal
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
14
11
Beagle
Staal
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
11
Beagle
Staal
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
55.9% (14,654)
+1.6%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
62.7% (1,762)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
47.9% (2,907)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Beagle
Staal
Home
59.1% (3,228)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Beagle
Staal
P1
57.4%
55.2%
P2
57.1%
55.9%
P3
56.2%
54.8%
OT
41.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |