Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 54.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 81.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Beagle
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
12
(28 meetings)
16
12
Beagle
Jankowski
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
6
Beagle
Jankowski
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
8
0
Beagle
Jankowski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
7
6
Beagle
Jankowski
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
51.5% (3,490)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
53.7% (95)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
42.7% (534)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Jankowski is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Beagle
Jankowski
Home
59.1% (3,228)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Beagle
Jankowski
P1
57.4%
49.8%
P2
57.1%
51.1%
P3
56.2%
50.3%
OT
41.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |