Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Colton 51.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 54.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 95.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 78.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Beagle
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Beagle
Colton
Last 9: Beagle 6-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Beagle
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
51.6% (1,803)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
48.8% (162)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
34.5% (29)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Colton is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Beagle
Colton
Home
59.1% (3,228)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Beagle
Colton
P1
57.4%
53.7%
P2
57.1%
52.6%
P3
56.2%
47.9%
OT
41.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |