Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (97% H2H, 29 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Monahan 51.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 41-29 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 96.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 80.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Beagle
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
29
(70 meetings)
41
29
Beagle
Monahan
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
18
Beagle
Monahan
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
28
1
Beagle
Monahan
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
10
Beagle
Monahan
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
51.1% (11,407)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
53.6% (2,582)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
45.9% (772)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Beagle
Monahan
Home
59.1% (3,228)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Beagle
Monahan
P1
57.4%
51.0%
P2
57.1%
51.7%
P3
56.2%
51.0%
OT
41.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |