Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Aho 51.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 82.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 90.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Beagle
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Beagle
Aho
Last 10: Beagle 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
9
Beagle
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
0
Beagle
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
2
Beagle
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
50.2% (6,646)
+7.3%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
58.9% (1,310)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
46.5% (465)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Beagle
Aho
Home
59.1% (3,228)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Beagle
Aho
P1
57.4%
51.1%
P2
57.1%
52.1%
P3
56.2%
50.8%
OT
41.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |