Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 80.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 55.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Beagle
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beagle
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
51.4% (735)
+5.8%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
63.5% (115)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
42.9% (133)
+8.7%
On power play, Beagle has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Beagle
Karlsson
Home
62.0% (200)
52.3% (524)
Away
53.4% (264)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Beagle
Karlsson
P1
55.8%
50.7%
P2
60.1%
51.4%
P3
54.5%
53.2%
OT
62.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
63.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |