Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Megna wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.2% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 85.9%
Defensive zone
Megna 71.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 60.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Megna
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Megna
Scheifele
Last 5: Megna 2-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Megna
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
1
0
Megna
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Megna
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
46.3% (12,077)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.2% (2,576)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
41.6% (598)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Megna has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Megna is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Megna shoots right. Scheifele is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,390).
Home / Away
Megna
Scheifele
Home
49.3% (227)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
48.6% (220)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
Megna
Scheifele
P1
51.7%
48.2%
P2
49.3%
45.6%
P3
46.3%
46.8%
Final 5 min
58.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |