Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Megna wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 85.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 55.3%
Neutral zone
Megna 56.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Megna
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Megna
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Megna
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Megna
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
52.3% (6,036)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.1% (164)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
44.1% (1,638)
+3.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Megna is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Megna shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Megna
Dowd
Home
49.3% (227)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
48.6% (220)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Megna
Dowd
P1
51.7%
51.5%
P2
49.3%
50.4%
P3
46.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |