Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Megna on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.2% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 75.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 61.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.7%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Megna
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Megna
Kuraly
Last 6: Megna 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Megna
2
1
Megna
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Megna
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Megna
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.4% (101)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
44.4% (1,091)
+3.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Megna shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Megna
Kuraly
Home
49.3% (227)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
48.6% (220)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Megna
Kuraly
P1
51.7%
51.2%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
50.2%
Final 5 min
58.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |