Barrett Hayton vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Pageau 54.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 88.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 82.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 80.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Hayton
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Hayton
Pageau
Last 10: Hayton 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
10
Hayton
Pageau
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Hayton
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
55.8% (9,525)
-5.0%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
57.0% (1,008)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
49.6% (2,077)
-4.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pageau
Home
52.8% (2,269)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Hayton
Pageau
P1
52.0%
54.7%
P2
51.4%
56.3%
P3
49.9%
53.5%
OT
58.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2025 | OT | 01:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |