Brayden Point vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Pageau 55.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 60.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Point
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Point
Pageau
Last 8: Point 5-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
57.1% (905)
-11.2%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
55.2% (116)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.0% (204)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Point
Pageau
Home
45.8% (286)
57.0% (618)
Away
45.5% (358)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Point
Pageau
P1
45.9%
54.4%
P2
48.8%
61.0%
P3
40.6%
51.0%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |