Brett Howden vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Pageau 54.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 37-15 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 90.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 96.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 92.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Howden
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
37
(52 meetings)
15
37
Howden
Pageau
Last 10: Howden 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Howden
Pageau
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
17
Howden
Pageau
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
10
Howden
Pageau
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
55.8% (9,525)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
57.0% (1,008)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
49.6% (2,077)
-6.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Howden
Pageau
Home
48.2% (1,630)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Howden
Pageau
P1
49.5%
54.7%
P2
47.9%
56.3%
P3
49.8%
53.5%
OT
35.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 02:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Brett Howden |