Chandler Stephenson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Pageau 54.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 30-16 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Stephenson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
16
(46 meetings)
30
16
Stephenson
Pageau
Last 10: Stephenson 8-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
17
4
Stephenson
Pageau
21 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Stephenson
Pageau
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
3
Stephenson
Pageau
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
55.8% (9,525)
-3.9%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
57.0% (1,008)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
49.6% (2,077)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,678).
Stephenson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pageau
Home
52.6% (3,827)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Stephenson
Pageau
P1
51.6%
54.7%
P2
52.3%
56.3%
P3
52.9%
53.5%
OT
57.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |