J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 60.3% vs Pageau 58.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 65.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Miller
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Miller
Pageau
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
Miller
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
62.0% (582)
59.3% (715)
+2.7%
Power Play
65.9% (126)
68.3% (41)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (71)
59.7% (221)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
63.0% (416)
58.1% (418)
Away
60.1% (363)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
60.7%
55.3%
P2
63.9%
61.5%
P3
60.2%
61.6%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |