Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jesper Boqvist
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Boqvist on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Boqvist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Boqvist 45.1% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 72.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Pageau
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
Boqvist
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Boqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
2
Pageau
Boqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
43.9% (148)
+15.7%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
40.0% (5)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
26.7% (15)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Boqvist is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Pageau
Boqvist
Home
59.3% (506)
43.0% (93)
Away
60.0% (482)
41.3% (75)
By Period
Pageau
Boqvist
P1
56.8%
55.9%
P2
64.4%
37.3%
P3
56.9%
31.0%
Final 5 min
61.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.6%
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |