Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Johan Larsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Larsson 49.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 25-19 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 77.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 75.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Pageau
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
25
(44 meetings)
19
25
Pageau
Larsson
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
13
6
Pageau
Larsson
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
11
Pageau
Larsson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
8
Pageau
Larsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
50.5% (4,382)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
47.7% (153)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
43.8% (714)
+5.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Pageau
Larsson
Home
56.3% (6,267)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Pageau
Larsson
P1
54.7%
51.6%
P2
56.3%
49.7%
P3
53.5%
47.2%
OT
54.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |