Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jonathan Toews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 30 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Toews 57.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 50-40 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 84.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 62.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 66.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Pageau
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
40
(90 meetings)
50
40
Pageau
Toews
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
12
21
Pageau
Toews
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
26
4
Pageau
Toews
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
12
15
Pageau
Toews
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
57.2% (13,079)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
63.3% (3,254)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
53.6% (1,810)
-4.0%
On power play, Toews has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Home / Away
Pageau
Toews
Home
56.3% (6,267)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Pageau
Toews
P1
54.7%
58.6%
P2
56.3%
57.9%
P3
53.5%
57.3%
OT
54.4%
58.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |