Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Leon Draisaitl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 76.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 64.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Pageau
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Pageau
Draisaitl
Last 10: Pageau 9-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
1
Pageau
Draisaitl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (715)
55.9% (835)
+3.4%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
61.8% (228)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
50.0% (40)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Pageau shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Pageau
Draisaitl
Home
58.1% (418)
55.1% (508)
Away
61.0% (559)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Pageau
Draisaitl
P1
55.3%
55.8%
P2
61.5%
55.7%
P3
61.6%
59.0%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |