Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Logan Couture
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Couture 47.6% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 88.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Pageau
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Pageau
Couture
Last 7: Pageau 6-1 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
49.2% (1,083)
+9.6%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
56.7% (60)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
35.4% (206)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Pageau
Couture
Home
59.0% (595)
49.6% (713)
Away
55.7% (661)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Pageau
Couture
P1
58.9%
47.2%
P2
57.9%
45.0%
P3
55.6%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |