Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Marat Khusnutdinov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Khusnutdinov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Khusnutdinov 45.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 78.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Khusnutdinov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
0
1
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
45.7% (565)
+10.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
50.0% (12)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
37.1% (70)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Khusnutdinov is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
Home
56.3% (6,267)
45.1% (264)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
44.6% (383)
By Period
Pageau
Khusnutdinov
P1
54.7%
48.6%
P2
56.3%
47.2%
P3
53.5%
38.9%
OT
54.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Marat Khusnutdinov |