Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Jankowski
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Jankowski 53.1% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 51.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Pageau
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
Jankowski
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
53.7% (555)
+5.7%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
50.0% (14)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
54.3% (46)
+5.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jankowski
Home
58.4% (430)
53.2% (331)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Pageau
Jankowski
P1
55.4%
52.7%
P2
61.8%
55.8%
P3
61.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |