Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Scheifele
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Pageau
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
Scheifele
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Pageau
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
46.5% (919)
+12.9%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
48.7% (187)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
50.0% (54)
+9.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Pageau
Scheifele
Home
58.4% (430)
46.6% (605)
Away
61.0% (559)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Pageau
Scheifele
P1
55.4%
52.3%
P2
61.8%
45.3%
P3
61.5%
43.9%
OT
75.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |