Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mason McTavish
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs McTavish 51.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 75.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 57.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Pageau
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pageau
McTavish
Last 5: Pageau 2-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Pageau
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
51.3% (725)
+5.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
55.8% (113)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
28.6% (7)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Pageau
McTavish
Home
57.0% (618)
52.0% (454)
Away
53.9% (607)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Pageau
McTavish
P1
54.4%
51.3%
P2
61.0%
50.4%
P3
51.0%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |