Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matty Beniers
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Beniers 48.8% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 81.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 95.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 95.0%
95.0%
5.0%
Pageau
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pageau
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
48.3% (862)
+11.1%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
58.3% (36)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
50.0% (32)
+9.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Pageau
Beniers
Home
58.4% (430)
52.4% (460)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Pageau
Beniers
P1
55.4%
47.5%
P2
61.8%
50.6%
P3
61.5%
47.6%
OT
75.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |