Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 89.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Pageau
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Rasmussen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
46.8% (248)
+12.6%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
62.5% (8)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
43.8% (16)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Rasmussen is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rasmussen
Home
58.4% (430)
50.0% (98)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Pageau
Rasmussen
P1
55.4%
40.2%
P2
61.8%
55.8%
P3
61.5%
43.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |