Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 31 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Backlund 49.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 50-27 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 88.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Pageau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
27
(77 meetings)
50
27
Pageau
Backlund
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
20
11
Pageau
Backlund
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
15
10
Pageau
Backlund
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
15
6
Pageau
Backlund
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
49.7% (13,463)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
51.5% (1,338)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
43.9% (2,465)
+5.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Home / Away
Pageau
Backlund
Home
56.3% (6,267)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Pageau
Backlund
P1
54.7%
48.5%
P2
56.3%
50.3%
P3
53.5%
48.4%
OT
54.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |