Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nazem Kadri
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Kadri 46.5% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 67.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Pageau
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pageau
Kadri
Last 5: Pageau 2-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Pageau
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Pageau
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
45.7% (1,295)
+13.9%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
52.7% (146)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
34.8% (23)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kadri
Home
59.3% (506)
46.5% (725)
Away
60.0% (482)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Pageau
Kadri
P1
56.8%
47.2%
P2
64.4%
44.9%
P3
56.9%
46.3%
OT
75.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
61.1%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |