Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bjugstad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 52.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Pageau
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pageau
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Pageau
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
49.7% (292)
+9.7%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
50.0% (6)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
47.2% (36)
+12.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bjugstad
Home
58.4% (430)
48.7% (193)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Pageau
Bjugstad
P1
55.4%
41.5%
P2
61.8%
57.3%
P3
61.5%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |