Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Schmaltz 47.1% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Pageau
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Pageau
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
46.5% (484)
+12.7%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
47.5% (99)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
46.7% (15)
+14.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pageau is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Pageau shoots right. Schmaltz is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Pageau
Schmaltz
Home
59.5% (299)
45.3% (298)
Away
60.4% (389)
48.0% (300)
By Period
Pageau
Schmaltz
P1
55.3%
40.4%
P2
62.2%
46.8%
P3
61.1%
53.4%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |