Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 51.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Pageau
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Pageau
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
45.9% (697)
+13.5%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
47.9% (117)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
48.0% (25)
+11.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Pageau
Schmaltz
Home
58.4% (430)
44.9% (434)
Away
61.0% (559)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Pageau
Schmaltz
P1
55.4%
41.5%
P2
61.8%
46.7%
P3
61.5%
51.1%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |