Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 74.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 90.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Pageau
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pageau
Kapanen
Last 7: Pageau 5-2 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Kapanen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
46.3% (572)
+9.5%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
50.9% (53)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
39.5% (38)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Kapanen is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kapanen
Home
56.3% (6,267)
46.3% (348)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Pageau
Kapanen
P1
54.7%
41.7%
P2
56.3%
49.6%
P3
53.5%
47.5%
OT
54.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |