Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Danault 54.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 59.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 69.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 54.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Pageau
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pageau
Danault
Last 7: Pageau 3-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Pageau
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
56.2% (745)
+3.2%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
45.1% (51)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
51.6% (124)
+8.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Pageau
Danault
Home
58.4% (430)
56.7% (402)
Away
61.0% (559)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Pageau
Danault
P1
55.4%
55.5%
P2
61.8%
54.2%
P3
61.5%
55.2%
OT
75.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
63.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | OT | 01:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |