Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Rickard Rakell
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Rakell 40.7% (+24.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 67.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 88.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Pageau
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
35.3% (136)
+24.1%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
43.8% (32)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
0.0% (7)
+59.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Rakell is 30.7% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rakell
Home
58.4% (430)
41.5% (82)
Away
61.0% (559)
30.1% (93)
By Period
Pageau
Rakell
P1
55.4%
35.6%
P2
61.8%
37.3%
P3
61.5%
31.1%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |