Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Roope Hintz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.9% vs 59.1%). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Hintz 58.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 77.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 63.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Pageau
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
58.7% (530)
+0.7%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
59.4% (170)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
66.7% (27)
-7.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hintz
Home
58.4% (430)
60.2% (354)
Away
61.0% (559)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Pageau
Hintz
P1
55.4%
58.4%
P2
61.8%
59.8%
P3
61.5%
58.2%
OT
75.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
63.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |