Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Greene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Greene 43.7% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 95.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 95.3%
95.3%
4.7%
Pageau
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Pageau
Greene
Last 7: Pageau 6-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Greene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
43.2% (530)
+12.6%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
46.8% (62)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
40.1% (167)
+9.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Greene is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Pageau
Greene
Home
56.3% (6,267)
47.4% (382)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Pageau
Greene
P1
54.7%
46.1%
P2
56.3%
37.6%
P3
53.5%
45.2%
OT
54.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |