Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Hartman
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs Hartman 45.6% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 74.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Pageau
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pageau
Hartman
Last 6: Pageau 5-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Pageau
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (715)
45.1% (874)
+14.2%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
47.4% (95)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
37.5% (16)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Pageau shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hartman
Home
58.1% (418)
45.0% (515)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Pageau
Hartman
P1
55.3%
47.3%
P2
61.5%
40.1%
P3
61.6%
48.3%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |