Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Johansen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 23 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 32-28 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 75.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 72.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Pageau
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
32
(60 meetings)
28
32
Pageau
Johansen
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
22
Pageau
Johansen
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
17
2
Pageau
Johansen
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
8
Pageau
Johansen
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
53.1% (11,017)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
56.2% (2,163)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
50.5% (978)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Pageau
Johansen
Home
56.3% (6,267)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Pageau
Johansen
P1
54.7%
53.2%
P2
56.3%
53.9%
P3
53.5%
52.8%
OT
54.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 30, 2021 | OT | 01:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |