Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan McLeod

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 59.0% vs McLeod 47.4% (+12.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pageau 89.0%
Defensive zone Pageau 92.5%
Neutral zone Pageau 94.8%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Pageau McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 0 (6 meetings)
6
0
Pageau McLeod
Last 6: Pageau 6-0 McLeod

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau McLeod
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
49.0% (827)
+10.4%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
44.0% (91)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
43.0% (272)
+16.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +25.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
58.4% (430)
48.5% (619)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
55.4%
52.7%
P2
61.8%
43.9%
P3
61.5%
45.8%
OT
75.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
44.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%
60.0%
59.9%
McLeod
40.0%
50.0%
47.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 24, 2026 3 09:17 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 24, 2026 3 06:14 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 24, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 24, 2026 2 17:38 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 20, 2025 3 06:26 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 20, 2025 2 05:18 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau