Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan McLeod
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs McLeod 47.4% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 88.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Pageau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Pageau
McLeod
Last 6: Pageau 6-0 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (715)
49.0% (827)
+10.3%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
44.0% (91)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
43.0% (272)
+16.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Pageau shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Pageau
McLeod
Home
58.1% (418)
48.5% (619)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Pageau
McLeod
P1
55.3%
52.7%
P2
61.5%
43.9%
P3
61.6%
45.8%
OT
75.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
63.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |