Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Strome
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Strome 45.9% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 88.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Pageau
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Pageau
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
45.4% (315)
+14.0%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
35.7% (28)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
50.0% (4)
+9.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Strome is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Pageau
Strome
Home
58.4% (430)
42.6% (188)
Away
61.0% (559)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Pageau
Strome
P1
55.4%
38.6%
P2
61.8%
48.4%
P3
61.5%
46.2%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |