Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Reinhart
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +21.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+21.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 83.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 79.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Pageau
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
39.0% (77)
+20.4%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
35.4% (48)
+33.6%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
40.9% (22)
+18.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Reinhart is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Pageau
Reinhart
Home
58.4% (430)
35.7% (84)
Away
61.0% (559)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Pageau
Reinhart
P1
55.4%
42.6%
P2
61.8%
34.7%
P3
61.5%
37.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |