Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Reinhart
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Reinhart 43.4% (+21.5%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 54.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Pageau
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
38.9% (72)
+20.3%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
35.7% (42)
+33.9%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
42.9% (21)
+18.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pageau is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Pageau shoots right. Reinhart is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Pageau
Reinhart
Home
59.5% (299)
34.7% (75)
Away
60.4% (389)
43.3% (60)
By Period
Pageau
Reinhart
P1
55.3%
43.9%
P2
62.2%
32.6%
P3
61.1%
39.6%
Final 5 min
62.4%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
38.5%