Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Couturier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Couturier 53.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 75.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 85.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Pageau
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Couturier
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
53.9% (792)
+5.5%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
62.9% (70)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
51.3% (234)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Pageau
Couturier
Home
58.4% (430)
51.4% (541)
Away
61.0% (559)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Pageau
Couturier
P1
55.4%
56.0%
P2
61.8%
52.6%
P3
61.5%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |