Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Shane Pinto
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Pinto 51.1% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 62.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 59.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Pageau
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Pageau
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
50.5% (556)
+8.9%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
68.0% (25)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
51.1% (94)
+8.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Pageau
Pinto
Home
58.4% (430)
50.0% (310)
Away
61.0% (559)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Pageau
Pinto
P1
55.4%
51.8%
P2
61.8%
49.8%
P3
61.5%
53.1%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |