Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Crosby 55.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 81.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Pageau
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Pageau
Crosby
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Pageau
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
53.3% (1,025)
+6.1%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
64.7% (249)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
60.0% (15)
-0.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Pageau
Crosby
Home
58.4% (430)
56.9% (675)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Pageau
Crosby
P1
55.4%
55.1%
P2
61.8%
53.1%
P3
61.5%
58.5%
OT
75.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |